The Reshaping Care for Older People Change Fund in Scotland aims to transform care for older people, supporting better integration of care to optimise independence and wellbeing for older people at home and improve outcomes.
Working with stakeholders, NHS Fife created a simulation that enabled everyone to understand the impact of the aging population on demand for services.
They simulated the introduction of a virtual ward on bed capacity requirements. One of the key modeling questions was to test what would happen if the staff assessing patients for the virtual ward worked 5 days a week or 7 days and week, and how many patients would still need an inpatient bed when the assessment centre was closed.
NHS Fife tested the simulation results with real data over a number of years to be absolutely confident in the results.
“Investing in a virtual ward is a big decision for us to make, and we felt we really needed to test it out in a computer simulation to see what the impact would be and to manage any risks, in line with guidance from the Scottish Government” said Ken Laurie, Director of Strategic Change from Fife.